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Mayor remains upbeat about bypass despite setback
By David Sale, Newberg Graphic reporter
E-mail David at dsale@eaglenewspapers.com
   Despite Friday’s announcement that Macquarie Infrastructure Group was abandoning the Newberg-Dundee bypass project, Newberg Mayor Bob Andrews said he was committed to seeing the bypass built.
   “This is not the end of the project,” he said. “By eliminating the private company managing the road — and their profit margin — we may lower costs by $100 million to $200 million.”
   Andrews based his statement on the Bear Sterns audit of Macquarie’s “Milestone One” feasibility study, the release of which was delayed two months while Macquarie employees and members of the Oregon Department of Transportation discussed its implications.
   “That report presented a variety of options related to the bypass, but unfortunately for everyone, did not reveal an apparent solution to the congestion in the area that was commercially viable and acceptable to the public,” wrote Bruce Tindall, deputy director of ODOT’s highway division, in a May 21 letter to Macquarie project director Nick Hann. “If there is no solution to finance the project as it is currently defined, we are left with rethinking the project in total.”
   The Bear Sterns audit agreed with Macquarie’s initial verdict that tolling Highway 99W would be needed to fund the project as designed — and that by doing so, the project could be entirely funded by the state through debt service, without the need for partnership with a private equity group such as Macquarie.
   “Revenues required to support the (public toll road) are approximately 32 percent lower than the target revenues for the (Milestone One) plan. In addition, over the 50-year concession period, approximately $1.3 billion of future operating income would accrue to the state as owner of the project,” the report stated.
   But in Hann’s opinion, such a result was purely hypothetical: “Our analysis looked at tolling through traffic, because we don’t believe it’s feasible to toll local residents. Their analysis was based on tolling everyone in the corridor — it didn’t address the practicality, legal or political, in that view. The debate over that was part of the reason for the delay of the report.”
   Another issue of debate was the idea of a local toll exemption. As Bear Sterns noted in its report: “The idea of exempting certain users from paying by place of residence ... has not been determined to be clearly permitted under state and federal law in the few places where it has been considered.”
   The report further advised ODOT “not to proceed to negotiate concession terms under the assumption that a local residence exemption would survive a legal challenge within the state of Oregon.”
   “There was the risk of a constitutional challenge,” Hann admitted, “but even if we couldn’t grant an outright exemption, we could have allowed local residents to buy passes for some nominal sum, say $50 per year.”
   The Bear Sterns audit also took issue with Macquarie’s preference for “through tolling,” or charging traffic that traveled the length of the bypass from a single toll booth located at its midpoint, with a free or reduced rate for trips that began or ended in Newberg or Dundee.
   By contrast, Bear Sterns argued that it would be necessary to place tollbooths at both ends of the bypass, so that traffic entering the bypass from any interchanges between Rex Hill and Dundee would pay a toll upon exiting.
   Despite the problems the Bear Sterns report found in Macquarie’s analysis, the audit does offer hope that a scaled-down version of the bypass project would be feasible.
   “Phasing the project to initially provide for a bypass around the communities of Newberg and Dundee and providing a limited access alternative to 99W as a second phase might permit the project to proceed without tolling the existing roadway ...,” the report concluded. “Completing only the bypass from Rex Hill to just south of Dundee is potentially financially feasible when only the bypass is tolled.”
   “There are a variety of options within the design environmental impact statement to lower our costs,” Andrews commented. “The number of lanes and the number and type of access points play a major role in determining the total budget.”
   With a limited number of interchanges, encouraging traffic onto the bypass becomes even more critical. The Bear Sterns report advised, and Andrews seconded, the use of traffic calming measures such as lowering speed limits and increasing the length of red lights throughout Newberg.
   “Forty-five percent of the traffic on 99W is pass-through,” Andrews said. “Those are the drivers we want to divert onto the bypass.”
   But even on a limited scale, Hann expressed his doubts that the bypass could proceed as an entirely public-funded project.
   “I think it’s much needed, but the costs are too high and the prospects of more federal or state funding are slim,” he said. “I expect the project will just go around in circles.”

From Aug. 1, 2007, Newberg Graphic
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